5
Hungry Heart
5yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De L'avant-port D'honfleur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 05/02/2026 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 22/04/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 31% | -0.46 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 02/06/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |