3
Plotinus
7yo Gelding · 9-5
Deauville · Prix De L'avant-port D'honfleur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength41%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 01/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 25/11/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 53% | -0.20 |
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.27 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 14/07/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |