7
Sim Card
8yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De L'avant-port D'honfleur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 42% | -0.16 |
| 02/09/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 26/09/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 27/12/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.09 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |