9
Sogynt
7yo Gelding · 9-2
Deauville · Prix De L'avant-port D'honfleur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength29%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-27 | Pornichet | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Deauville | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.18 |
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 82% | -0.10 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 27/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 85% | -0.01 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |