1
Cuellar
3yo Gelding · 9-8
Deauville · Prix Des Gorges De La Vire Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |