5
Good Bye Davier
3yo Colt · 9-2
Deauville · Prix Des Gorges De La Vire Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Le Mans | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 04/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |