6
Purple Bay
3yo Gelding · 8-12
Deauville · Prix Des Gorges De La Vire Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Nantes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.36 |
| 24/02/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 29% | -0.63 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |