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3

Soft Dream

3yo Colt · 9-6

Deauville · Prix Des Gorges De La Vire Handicap · 1m 6f 200y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

41%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 02/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1282/12C5C5 @ Deauville 29/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12829/12C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 21/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 12821/01C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 10/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12410/03C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 03/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1323/04C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 28/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 12228/05C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 13222/06C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-22Lyon-Parilly?2nd2nd0
2026-05-28ParisLongchamp?12th12th0
2026-04-03Saint-Cloud?2nd2nd0
2026-03-10Saint-Cloud?1st1st0
2026-01-21Lyon La Soie?1st1st0
2025-12-29Deauville?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1210/0322/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/12/20256th22/10%67%+0.67
29/12/20256th16/116%64%+0.48
21/01/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
10/03/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
03/04/20262nd3/184%91%+0.07
28/05/202612th11/142%27%-0.15
22/06/20262nd11/893%83%-0.09