9
The Fist
3yo Colt · 8-6
Deauville · Prix Des Gorges De La Vire Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Marseille | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 27/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/01/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 42% | -0.41 |
| 07/05/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 9% | -0.67 |