14
Bella Memoria
4yo Filly · 8-5
Deauville · Prix Des Greniers A Sel Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/11/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 08/03/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.02 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 20/04/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 28/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |