8
Colgan Senora
5yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix Des Greniers A Sel Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-05-20 | Angers | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2024 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 30/05/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 23/04/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 20/05/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/07/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 05/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 79% | -0.00 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |