10
Everillo
7yo Gelding · 8-13
Deauville · Prix Des Greniers A Sel Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-25 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |
| 05/10/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.74 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |