13
Gitano
4yo Gelding · 8-8
Deauville · Prix Des Greniers A Sel Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#14
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 3 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-08-15 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 15/08/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 79% | +0.02 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 11% | -0.65 |
| 30/05/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |