5
Human Evolution
5yo Colt · 9-6
Deauville · Prix Des Greniers A Sel Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 02/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 87% | +0.01 |
| 23/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 03/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 69% | -0.18 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |