7
Wakaburn
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Deauville · Prix Des Greniers A Sel Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chantilly | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Chantilly | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 13/04/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 08/06/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/08/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |