10
Instant Classic
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 31
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 04/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |