1

Last Call Geno

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 49

Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Santa Anita 08/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f Fas 1218/06C9C9 @ Fairmount Park 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 42 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 42 par14/07C9OR 42projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-08Santa Anita?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/202610th20/10%25%+0.25
14/07/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06