Maya's Warrior
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 25
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-08-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/06/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 22/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 04/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |