9
Premor
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 46
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |