8

Boogie Bode

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74

Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Oaklawn Park 26/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 94 · 1m110y 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/01/2025 · OR 94 par26/01C7OR 94C7 @ Oaklawn Park 08/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/03/2025 · OR 87 parC7 @ Oaklawn Park 11/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2025 · OR 88 par11/04C7OR 88C7 @ Oaklawn Park 03/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 91 · 1m6f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2025 · OR 91 parC8 @ Hawthorne 29/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 1m110y Yie 122 · beat its mark29/05/2025 · OR 82 par29/05C8OR 82C7 @ Fairmount Park 19/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2025 · OR 85 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 09/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 86 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/09/2025 · OR 86 par9/09C6OR 86C6 @ Fairmount Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 85 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 87 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 87 par18/07C8OR 87projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2025-10-11Fairmount Park?8th6th+2
2025-09-09Fairmount Park?4th2nd+2
2025-07-19Fairmount Park?5th4th+1
2025-05-29Hawthorne?1st1st0
2025-05-03Oaklawn Park?9th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/013/059/0918/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/01/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
08/03/20258th16/116%13%-0.03
11/04/20256th25/10%44%+0.44
03/05/20259th25/10%33%+0.33
29/05/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
19/07/20255th14/126%50%+0.24
09/09/20254th15/890%50%-0.40
11/10/20258th10/382%0%-0.82
18/07/20267th12/137%0%-0.37