Euclid Avenue
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 77
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/12/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 01/01/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |