Handsoffthegoods
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 80
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 06/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 28/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |