2

Mystic Power

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 83

Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Hawthorne 25/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m70y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/05/2025 · OR 83 par25/05C5OR 83C6 @ Fairmount Park 10/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2025 · OR 84 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 01/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/07/2025 · OR 84 par1/07C6OR 84C6 @ Fairmount Park 19/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2025 · OR 84 parC5 @ Hawthorne 19/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m70y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 85 par19/10C5OR 85C8 @ Fairmount Park 28/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 81 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark28/10/2025 · OR 81 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 74 · 1m 124 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 74 par23/05C8OR 74C8 @ Fairmount Park 16/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 78 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 78 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m1f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 82 par14/07C7OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Fairmount Park?6th5th+1
2026-06-16Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-05-23Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2025-10-28Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2025-10-19Hawthorne?6th3rd+3
2025-08-02Fairmount Park?+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0519/0723/0514/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20255th20/10%43%+0.43
10/06/20253rd6/594%60%-0.34
01/07/20255th3/184%50%-0.34
19/07/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
19/10/20256th16/116%29%+0.13
28/10/20253rd2/189%75%-0.14
23/05/20262nd8/1597%67%-0.31
16/06/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20
14/07/20266th12/137%29%-0.08