Paynt By Letters
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 77
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 21/11/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 19/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 18/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 23/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |