10
People Force
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 77
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |