Best Man Speech
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 61
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 26/08/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 28/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |