1
Reveille Valley
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 22/03/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 30/03/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/05/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 04/01/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 26/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |