Rumbling
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 63
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-11-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 27/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 03/11/2025 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 9% | -0.70 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |