2
T Law
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 58
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength26%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 29/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 22/07/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 02/11/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |