6
Adios Kid
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 19/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 20% | -0.69 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |