4

Takeitaway

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 78

Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength32%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Hawthorne 04/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 85 · 5f110y Fas 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/05/2025 · OR 85 par4/05C5OR 85C6 @ Fairmount Park 27/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 116 · below its mark27/05/2025 · OR 85 parC5 @ Hawthorne 12/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/06/2025 · OR 81 par12/06C5OR 81C5 @ Hawthorne 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 79 parC5 @ Hawthorne 12/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 84 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 84 par12/10C5OR 84C5 @ Hawthorne 02/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Hawthorne 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 82 · 5f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 82 par3/05C5OR 82C5 @ Hawthorne 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Hawthorne 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 76 · 6f 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 76 par13/07C5OR 76projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Hawthorne?4th3rd+1
2026-05-21Hawthorne?4th3rd+1
2026-05-03Hawthorne?4th3rd+1
2025-11-02Hawthorne?6th5th+1
2025-10-12Hawthorne?2nd1st+1
2025-09-04Hawthorne?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/054/093/0513/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength77%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20255th11/271%0%-0.71
27/05/20254th3/1098%57%-0.41
12/06/20255th3/184%33%-0.51
04/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
12/10/20252nd10/382%75%-0.07
02/11/20256th12/137%55%+0.18
03/05/20264th10/147%25%-0.22
21/05/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
13/07/20264th6/168%50%-0.18