3
Bee Bluff
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 73
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 09/03/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 17/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/7 | 99% | 88% | -0.11 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |