6
Keen Gal
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 70
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength8%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 13/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |