4

Peytons Honor

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 73

Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

67%

Place Prob

45%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 08/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 118 · beat its mark08/09/2024 · OR 60 par8/09C6OR 60C6 @ Fairmount Park 15/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 118 · beat its mark15/10/2024 · OR 64 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 29/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark29/10/2024 · OR 65 par29/10C6OR 65C6 @ Fairmount Park 29/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 5f110y Slo 124 · beat its mark29/04/2025 · OR 67 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 13/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 68 · 5f110y Gd 124 · beat its mark13/05/2025 · OR 68 par13/05C6OR 68C6 @ Fairmount Park 03/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark03/06/2025 · OR 71 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 24/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Fm 121 · beat its mark24/06/2025 · OR 76 par24/06C6OR 76C6 @ Fairmount Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 74 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 71 · 6f 124 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 71 par7/07C6OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2026-06-20Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2025-06-24Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2025-06-03Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2025-05-13Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2025-04-29Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0929/0424/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength37%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20242nd9/276%80%+0.04
15/10/20241st5/287%100%+0.13
29/10/20242nd11/271%88%+0.16
29/04/20252nd6/594%80%-0.14
13/05/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
03/06/20252nd2/189%75%-0.14
24/06/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
20/06/20266th9/276%0%-0.76
07/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63