5
Wildcat Bobbie
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 79
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2024-10-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-10 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2023 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 14/11/2023 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 14/07/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 10/09/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 20/10/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/05/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 31/05/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |