7
Code Runner
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Starter Allowance · 1m 2f
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 07/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 1/3 | 98% | 67% | -0.32 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |