2
Double Thunder
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Starter Allowance · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 31/07/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 19/08/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 30/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |