6
Runningforcash
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Starter Allowance · 1m 2f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
72%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-11-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |