9
Harper Briana
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 40
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/09/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 28/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |