12
I Did The Math
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 45
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength6%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 07/08/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 19/08/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |