5
Richiesgoldengirl
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 61
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-08 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |