9
Cantstealmythunder
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 50
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/09/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |