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8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 31/05/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 16/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |