6

Granddaddylonglegs

7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 75

Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 08/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2024 · OR 73 par8/09C6OR 73C6 @ Fairmount Park 22/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/09/2024 · OR 74 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 10/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/05/2025 · OR 71 par10/05C6OR 71C6 @ Fairmount Park 01/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/07/2025 · OR 70 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 19/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 70 par19/07C6OR 70C6 @ Fairmount Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 79 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 79 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 16/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 80 · 6f 124 · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 80 par16/09C8OR 80C8 @ Fairmount Park 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 6f 124 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 78 par4/07C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-06-02Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2025-09-16Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2025-09-02Fairmount Park?5th3rd+2
2025-08-02Fairmount Park?+2
2025-07-19Fairmount Park?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/091/0716/094/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength77%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20243rd11/486%60%-0.26
22/09/20247th5/174%0%-0.74
10/05/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
01/07/20253rd12/137%75%+0.38
19/07/20254th25/10%50%+0.50
02/09/20255th10/147%33%-0.14
16/09/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
02/06/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
04/07/20264th5/287%40%-0.47