7
Idea Man
9yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 68
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 13/09/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 24/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 05/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |