3
Latin Casino
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-06-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2023 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 27/07/2023 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 02/03/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 30/06/2024 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |