12
Swaggy George
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength93%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 19/08/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 30/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |