4

Diamondinthedark

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 69

Ffos Las · Happy 70th Birthday Brian Glanville Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

24%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed the promise of her debut effort when scoring at Wolverhampton (6f) in November but struggled on handicap debut/return at Lingfield 9 weeks ago and needs to improve now making first start on turf.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 03/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f16y Std 1263/1155 @ Wolverhampton 29/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12629/1155 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 70 · 7f1y Std 132 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 70 par4/065OR 70projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04Lingfield58th8th0
2025-11-29Wolverhampton51st1st0
2025-11-03Southwell52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1129/114/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/20252nd22/10%86%+0.86
29/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
04/06/20268th16/116%0%-0.16