3
Escape Plan
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 70
Ffos Las · Happy 70th Birthday Brian Glanville Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Bath | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Lingfield | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Salisbury | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 30/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 42% | -0.24 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 13% | -0.70 |