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5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 68
Ffos Las · Happy 70th Birthday Brian Glanville Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength65%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-08 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Ffos Las | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 15/06/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 13/08/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 09/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |